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in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president had led by 10 last month. now it's down to 3. in ohio today, a poll on the right gives the president an edge of 2 points. that poll in iowa shows a gain for mr. obama, a 5-point gain. in florida, the same poll shows a 4-point swing for romney. he's up by 2 points. so the major fall or minor lift, however, you rattle the number lose, as the overall national polling shifts and the swing state races shift with them, the state where the romney campaign is hoping for the biggest shift of all is in ohio. in modern political history, ohio has been the path to the presidency for republican candidates. if republican candidates win ohio, they win the white house. if mitt romney doesn't win ohio,
in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president had led by 10 last month. now it's down to 3. in ohio today, a poll on the right gives the president an edge of 2 points. that...
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Oct 11, 2012
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and one poll had romney ahead by one. since the debate there, have been three polls. obama ahead by one and fourer, and romney ahead by one. it's a real clear politics average of 0.8 tenths. looks like movement there. look, it's hard to move only in individual states. the individual states mimic to a lesser or greater extent what's happening nationwide. if you look at that, in the real clear politics average before the debates, it was obama leading by 3.1%. after the debates, as of this afternoon, it's romney leading by a point. that's a swing of 4.1%. and leading 48. that bounce will grow a little bit more as we get polls here in the next couple days. i would not be surprised to see it grow to five points. >> bill: nevada and colorado are two states that mitt romney could win, correct? >> yeah. correct. we've got some polling in colorado. before happened there were four polls. obama won two of them. by three and four points. romney won two by three and four points. since then, we had two polls. the real clear politics average is now swung colorado into romney's colum
and one poll had romney ahead by one. since the debate there, have been three polls. obama ahead by one and fourer, and romney ahead by one. it's a real clear politics average of 0.8 tenths. looks like movement there. look, it's hard to move only in individual states. the individual states mimic to a lesser or greater extent what's happening nationwide. if you look at that, in the real clear politics average before the debates, it was obama leading by 3.1%. after the debates, as of this...
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and a new real clear politics average of all the national polls has romney edging ahead of president obama for the first time this year. south of cleveland last night, meanwhile, an estimated 12,000 people showed up in the cold to support romney who was introduced by fired up governor of new jersey, mr. chris christie. >> a few weeks ago, i watched the democratic national convention, i did it as a sacrifice and service to my country. i sat on my couch in my living room, i made my 12-year-old son patrick bring me a big bottle of water because when i hear that much b.s., i get lightheaded. i want to help the president i'm sure because he loves me. i'm sure he's out there listening. mr. president, you have lived inside 1600 pennsylvania avenue for four years. if you can't change washington from inside the white house, then let's get you the plane ticket back to chicago you've earned. >> romney who is holding three more campaign events today in ohio shows you you how much they think they need to do in that state, then supplied the crowd with a neutrallying cry. >> i've been watching some
and a new real clear politics average of all the national polls has romney edging ahead of president obama for the first time this year. south of cleveland last night, meanwhile, an estimated 12,000 people showed up in the cold to support romney who was introduced by fired up governor of new jersey, mr. chris christie. >> a few weeks ago, i watched the democratic national convention, i did it as a sacrifice and service to my country. i sat on my couch in my living room, i made my...
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nationally, the latest gallup poll shows mitt romney leading president obama 49% to 47%. that spread is within the margin of error, so it's essentially a tie. in ohio, new polling today shows this: pollster a.r.g. has romney up by one point, 48% to 47%. but a cnn poll has the president up by four, 51% to 47%. either way, it's an improvement for romney who was falling well behind in ohio until last week's debate. both candidates were in ohio today where this is the last day to register to vote. our campaign 2012 correspondents are there, too, and we'll go to nancy cordes with the obama campaign. >> reporter: scott, ohio is the grand prize for the obama campaign. they have 120 field offices here, the president has held 17 rallies in this state, more than any other state, but in the debate last week he failed to mention some major issues that are very important to ohio voters, like that auto bailout or shipping jobs overseas. that's a mistake he did not make today here in columbus. >> when you think about ohio, when governor romney said that we should let the auto industry g
nationally, the latest gallup poll shows mitt romney leading president obama 49% to 47%. that spread is within the margin of error, so it's essentially a tie. in ohio, new polling today shows this: pollster a.r.g. has romney up by one point, 48% to 47%. but a cnn poll has the president up by four, 51% to 47%. either way, it's an improvement for romney who was falling well behind in ohio until last week's debate. both candidates were in ohio today where this is the last day to register to vote....
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the gallup poll showed president obama under mitt romney. how do they come back after a such a large gap? >> that 72% likely seems large, but those numbers are often dictated by the spin that comes after a debate performance, so it's probably a little bit artificially high for those who saw the debate. that being said i think the president needs to get back into the driver's seat. it has really only been the last several months that we has taken off in a position of strong play. he needs to give the base a reason to be excited. if there's anything to worry about, it's the enthusiasm numbers, and those are the easiest to impact on a moments notice. if like michelle said he's aggressive on the stump in articulating his vision but also tying it back to how his record has impacted people in this country, and how his plans and romney's plans will do that in the future. >> joy: and michelle there was a battle groub poll that shows nation wise 86% of romney supports are extremely likely to vote. so the question is how does the president energize re
the gallup poll showed president obama under mitt romney. how do they come back after a such a large gap? >> that 72% likely seems large, but those numbers are often dictated by the spin that comes after a debate performance, so it's probably a little bit artificially high for those who saw the debate. that being said i think the president needs to get back into the driver's seat. it has really only been the last several months that we has taken off in a position of strong play. he needs...
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poll numbers improving. >> they're looking very good. i feel very good. >> reporter: after the debate, romney is within two points of the president. and tomorrow, both candidates head to ohio, battleground ohio, where early voting is already under way. tomorrow is the last day to register to vote there. veronica? >> thank you. mitt romney will deliver that major policy speech before noon eastern, but the obama campaign is issuing a preemptive strike with this new tv ad criticizing the republican candidate's past foreign policy faux pas. take a look. >> reckless. amateurish. that's what news media and fellow republicans called mitt romney's gaffe-filled july tour of england, israel, and poland, when our u.s. diplomats were attacked in libya, "the new york times" said romney's response showed an extraordinary lack of presidential character. >> the obama campaign said this will be romney's seventh speech on foreign policy. >>> venezuelan president hugo chavez gets to keep his job for another seven years, but his re-election came in the slim
poll numbers improving. >> they're looking very good. i feel very good. >> reporter: after the debate, romney is within two points of the president. and tomorrow, both candidates head to ohio, battleground ohio, where early voting is already under way. tomorrow is the last day to register to vote there. veronica? >> thank you. mitt romney will deliver that major policy speech before noon eastern, but the obama campaign is issuing a preemptive strike with this new tv ad...
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it appears that in one poll, in the pew poll, mitt romney is up against the president and in the gallup seven-day tracking poll, the president is up 50 to 45, if i have mitt romney's number right in that poll. this race has been, is, and will continue to be until election day a very close race. and so either side can take heart in a poll that shows his or her candidate being on top but, remember, this race is basically tied. >> now, the vice presidential debate, the one and only one, will be be this thursday night and paul ryan, the republican vice presidential nominee, was questioning his weekend on what he was doing to prepare for the debate. here's his response. >> how you feeling about the debate? >> what debate? oh, yeah. i better get ready for that. >> you know, i better get started. you just reminded me. no, it's going well. >> what are you looking for in that debate, marge, on thursday night? >> well, first of all, paul ryan should focus on explaining the math. that's something he dismissed when asked about it on fox news about a week or two ago. >> right. >> so he should now fi
it appears that in one poll, in the pew poll, mitt romney is up against the president and in the gallup seven-day tracking poll, the president is up 50 to 45, if i have mitt romney's number right in that poll. this race has been, is, and will continue to be until election day a very close race. and so either side can take heart in a poll that shows his or her candidate being on top but, remember, this race is basically tied. >> now, the vice presidential debate, the one and only one, will...
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romney was getting hammered in the polls. keeping them honest though, disputing or downplaying the obvious, that's what campaigns do on both sides. >> it's not going to be about the polls. >> i wouldn't put a lot of weight in any of these national polls for the next couple days. >> in terms of mitt romney surging, just remember how much of a deficit he had to make up. he was in some cases double digits behind the president in all those attributes. >> pull back the reins. >> the media is focusing on one poll. >> that's reaction to the recent batch of polling, including that devastating pew poll that showed a four point romney lead. now consider that pew took an earlier poll in september a couple weeks before the debate, it was the republicans going ballistic when it showed romney eight points down. watch. >> these polls are basically just part and parcel of the campaign for barack obama to help him stay in this game as long as possible. >> if you believe what the polls are saying right now, you've got to believe that there's s
romney was getting hammered in the polls. keeping them honest though, disputing or downplaying the obvious, that's what campaigns do on both sides. >> it's not going to be about the polls. >> i wouldn't put a lot of weight in any of these national polls for the next couple days. >> in terms of mitt romney surging, just remember how much of a deficit he had to make up. he was in some cases double digits behind the president in all those attributes. >> pull back the reins....
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big jump, 4 out of 5 polls, mitt romney and paul ryan lead. have you big poll numbers in florida and virginia, showing people in just a second. abc and cbs admits the ticket is gaining ground, post debate. nbc, no, not much of an impact at ms-nbc. >> florida, ohio and virginia, battleground states. what we see on the screen, a tight, tight, dead heat in florida and in virginia. in ohio, you still see the president hanging on to a lead. i guess you could say that romney has the trend line, but ohio is still a problem. >> another factor in all three of these polls, over 90% said the debate made no difference. 6, 7 and 7% respectively who said the debates mattered to their vote. that is, not as helpful to romney as he might have hoped. >> the debate has not as much of an impact. >> sean: i was thinking that if joe biden loses and 25 day, i am thinking that nbc news -- it's a perfect place for an unhinged, over-the-top, extreme leftist. he would be perfect over there. >> chuck todd, the political director of nbc news labeled the rasmussen poll, qu
big jump, 4 out of 5 polls, mitt romney and paul ryan lead. have you big poll numbers in florida and virginia, showing people in just a second. abc and cbs admits the ticket is gaining ground, post debate. nbc, no, not much of an impact at ms-nbc. >> florida, ohio and virginia, battleground states. what we see on the screen, a tight, tight, dead heat in florida and in virginia. in ohio, you still see the president hanging on to a lead. i guess you could say that romney has the trend line,...
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a reuters poll found the president leads romney 59% to 39%. others say younger voters may be the target when president obama makes his second appearance to face political jokes from jon stewart on "the daily show." and bruce springsteen will sing at an obama rally in ohio, and bill clinton will be speaking at the event. >>> supporters of big bird who want to save "sesame street" are planning a million muppets march in washington only three days before the election. and now from the non-scientific file of predicting political winners, reuters reports that based on past elections, if ohio state wins its football game against illinois november 3rd, incumbents including the president could get a small boost on election day, but the opposite effected could happen from sharp attacks reducing votes in states like florida. huh? >>> and saturday night live took on the vice presidential debate making fun of joe biden's frequent laughs and interruptions and paul ryan's complaint about it. >> i know you're under a lot of duress to make up from lost ground
a reuters poll found the president leads romney 59% to 39%. others say younger voters may be the target when president obama makes his second appearance to face political jokes from jon stewart on "the daily show." and bruce springsteen will sing at an obama rally in ohio, and bill clinton will be speaking at the event. >>> supporters of big bird who want to save "sesame street" are planning a million muppets march in washington only three days before the election....
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the latest poll shows romney leads, now up four points between the likely voters, but a new gallup poll shows the president up by five. looking to capitalize on his momentum, today, romney tried to frame himself as a steady commander-in-chief, and in what his campaign feels is a major foreign policy speech, accusing president obama of weak leadership. >> i know that president obama hopes for a weaker middle east, but hope is not a strategy. >> reporter: and calling for a change of course, but offering few new policy details, romney argued that the middle east is a more dangerous place since the president took office, citing serious civil war. the potential of a nuclear iran, and last month's terrorist attack in libya, that left four americans, including the u.s. ambassador, dead. >> it is our responsibility, and the responsibility of the president to use his greatest power to shape history, not to lead from behind. >> reporter: the obama campaign was quick with a rebut all, they talked about specifics. >> now i'm a professor, he gave absolutely no specifics. >> reporter: in california t
the latest poll shows romney leads, now up four points between the likely voters, but a new gallup poll shows the president up by five. looking to capitalize on his momentum, today, romney tried to frame himself as a steady commander-in-chief, and in what his campaign feels is a major foreign policy speech, accusing president obama of weak leadership. >> i know that president obama hopes for a weaker middle east, but hope is not a strategy. >> reporter: and calling for a change of...
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the latest polls, reuters has them tied. gallup has romney up by two. pew has him up by four. and we were talking about the polls in the balgtd ground states. it also now looks like according to other polls that pennsylvania and michigan may no longer be safe bets for the president. lynn. >> all right, thanks. last night on the rachel maddow show, nate silver talks about just how close the candidates are in the polls. >> the whole good month that obama had in september between the convention and the 47% tape, you're now seeing the race as close as it's been all year. i'm a little skeptical that it's actually tied based on the fact that obama still seems to on have a lead in the majority of swing state polls. but romney, who a week or two ago go looked like his campaign might be dead in the water, now is very, very close. maybe the debate was the october surprise, although it wouldn't be the first time that a challenger did really well in the first televised debate. >> every night rachel maddow takes on the biggest stories of the day. watch her at 9:00 eastern right here on msn
the latest polls, reuters has them tied. gallup has romney up by two. pew has him up by four. and we were talking about the polls in the balgtd ground states. it also now looks like according to other polls that pennsylvania and michigan may no longer be safe bets for the president. lynn. >> all right, thanks. last night on the rachel maddow show, nate silver talks about just how close the candidates are in the polls. >> the whole good month that obama had in september between the...
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has effectively closed the gender gap according to one poll. romney stands even with the president among female voters in the latest pugh survey. should romney end up getting more of the female vote than the president does in the general, he'd be the first republican to do that in 24 years. want to sound smart today, tell your friends the last republican presidential candidate to win the female vote, george h.w. bush. they favored him over michael dukakis by a single percentage point that day. the number of female voters xeeted every male voter in every presidential election since 1964. >>> all right, let's huddle up around the water cooler to take a crack at the conspiracy theories that were around after the release of the jobs report. >> folks, this .3% drop in the unemployment rate seems just a little too barely better to be true. >> maybe it's a coincidence. the month before the election we have a number that comes out .1 below when the president took office. >> i'm going to go with jack welch on this one. >> how convenient that the rate dr
has effectively closed the gender gap according to one poll. romney stands even with the president among female voters in the latest pugh survey. should romney end up getting more of the female vote than the president does in the general, he'd be the first republican to do that in 24 years. want to sound smart today, tell your friends the last republican presidential candidate to win the female vote, george h.w. bush. they favored him over michael dukakis by a single percentage point that day....
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he gave absolutely no specifics. >> polls are now split on romney's popularity. pugh has him up four points among likely voters. the positive jobs report gave president obama a five point boost. according to hispanic voters in california, president obama moves to ohio today claiming romney's debate performance was more style than substance. >> what was being presented wasn't leadership. that's salesmanship. governor romney's plan is to let wall street run wild again but he's going to bring the hammer down on sesame street. >> the president has no new ideas. >> both vice-presidential candidates are practicing for thursday's debate. paul ryan is in florida after studying after four days in a woodsy virginia camp. vice president biden is at home in delaware focusing on ryan's speeches and his budget. >>> national hospital is reporting yet another death from the meningitis outbreak. if confirmed, it would be the fifth deadly case in tennessee. that is the ninth nationally. at least 105 people in nine states from minnesota to florida have been affected. the cdc now be
he gave absolutely no specifics. >> polls are now split on romney's popularity. pugh has him up four points among likely voters. the positive jobs report gave president obama a five point boost. according to hispanic voters in california, president obama moves to ohio today claiming romney's debate performance was more style than substance. >> what was being presented wasn't leadership. that's salesmanship. governor romney's plan is to let wall street run wild again but he's going...
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let's talk about the pew poll and that romney lead. could you break down those numbers. >> that's a huge lead. if that number is correct, you know, it seems to be a little bit of an outlier. we don't have a lot of information. all the polls that have been released since the debate, state polls, national polls and the average for romney is he's increased his performance by about four to five points. that's a big deal. since the convention, obama seemed to have a lead of about four points. now it's gone back to the pre-convention period where it was tied or obama had a one to two-point lead in all the polls. the best thing to do is to wait for the by the end of the week we'll have more national poll. we'll see what's showing up in the swing state. it does seem just like obama got a big bump out of his convention, mitt romney has a significant bump out of his first debate performance. >> we need to look at overall trends. overall trends clearly moving towards romney including in key voting groups. women voters, if you look at pew a month
let's talk about the pew poll and that romney lead. could you break down those numbers. >> that's a huge lead. if that number is correct, you know, it seems to be a little bit of an outlier. we don't have a lot of information. all the polls that have been released since the debate, state polls, national polls and the average for romney is he's increased his performance by about four to five points. that's a big deal. since the convention, obama seemed to have a lead of about four points....
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the gallup polls pre- and post- debate show romney going from 5 percent behind to a dead heat. it is even bigger, a george washington university poll shows a 12 percentage point twinge with romney leading. there is a change in the dynamism that republicans feel. the republicans are more enjoyed. >>eric: and predebate, governor romney was at 45 percent and president obama was at 50 percent, a five-point lead by the president. post debate, october 4-6, that was 47 percent to 47 percent. that is a big swing. that is a gallup poll. that is a big move, isn't it? >>guest: that is a significant move. as i pensioned, among likely voters it has shifted more because one of the things that happened in campaigns and especially in the battleground states where you have even balanced between republicans and democrats, the key thing is to get your marginal supporters to vote, the lessize logical republicans and democrats. we have seen in this battleground poll among the body rat democrats a 12 percentage point drop in those who said they are extremely likely to vote in the past week. they hav
the gallup polls pre- and post- debate show romney going from 5 percent behind to a dead heat. it is even bigger, a george washington university poll shows a 12 percentage point twinge with romney leading. there is a change in the dynamism that republicans feel. the republicans are more enjoyed. >>eric: and predebate, governor romney was at 45 percent and president obama was at 50 percent, a five-point lead by the president. post debate, october 4-6, that was 47 percent to 47 percent....
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. >> mitt romney is trying to turn the momentum from his debate performance. >> polls show mitt romney got a bounce. >> new polls. >> into a political tidal wave on the campaign trail. >> mitt romney will say absolutely anything to get elected. >> at the debate he said he's not going to cut taxes for the wealthy. in the primary he said he's going to cut taxes for everyone. >> i'm going to lower rates across the board for all americans. isn't that a change? >> let me repeat what i said. >> lying, denying and alibiing. >> is that leadership? >> we can't debate the debate. >> the war continues. >> let's move on. >> we are awaiting a major foreign policy address. >> romney boiled down the president's foreign policy to one of hope. >> hope is not a strategy. >> but on actual foreign policy romney's specifics were rather thin. >> i'll support the libyan's people efforts to support a lasting government. >> how about iran? >> prevent them from acquiring nuclear weapons capability. >> that's the same. >> this is the same guy who couldn't even go to the olympics. >> he will say anything, he will
. >> mitt romney is trying to turn the momentum from his debate performance. >> polls show mitt romney got a bounce. >> new polls. >> into a political tidal wave on the campaign trail. >> mitt romney will say absolutely anything to get elected. >> at the debate he said he's not going to cut taxes for the wealthy. in the primary he said he's going to cut taxes for everyone. >> i'm going to lower rates across the board for all americans. isn't that a...
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the poll indicates 72% of respondents believe romney won. 20% favored obama. gallup says the margin of 52 points is the largest it's ever measured in a post-debate poll. approval ratings for romney rose by five percentage points after the debate. he now ties obama at 47%. analysts say the remaining two presidential debates will likely sway the outcome of the november 6th election. >>> japan and china are locked in an increasingly bitter dispute over the senkaku islands in east china sea. the issue dominated a recent symposium in tokyo joined by academics and students from both countries. participants looked for ways to ease tensions between the feuding neighbors. emotions are still running high. but nhk world detected an encouraging notice in the debate. the active role played by young people. >> reporter: the symposium was originally supposed to be one of the events marking 40 years of diplomatic relations between china and japan. but the senkaku dispute has cast a long shadow. >> translator: the days of japan/china friendship may be over. >> translator: i th
the poll indicates 72% of respondents believe romney won. 20% favored obama. gallup says the margin of 52 points is the largest it's ever measured in a post-debate poll. approval ratings for romney rose by five percentage points after the debate. he now ties obama at 47%. analysts say the remaining two presidential debates will likely sway the outcome of the november 6th election. >>> japan and china are locked in an increasingly bitter dispute over the senkaku islands in east china...
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. >> a new poll showing romney slightly ahead. >> the new poll. >> conservatives are saying we're not going fight with him now. we're going to wait until after the election. >> cenk: now, you all remember the good ol' days, before the first presidential debate when president obama was comfortably up. in a gallup poll he was up by five points. and a certain talk show host made this prediction. >> so barring a major miracle i'm calling the election right now. it's already over. >> cenk: oops. the gallup poll out today 47%-47%. for those of you math-challenged, that would be a tie. what did i say again? it's already over. >> cenk: oh, boy. now, that was just one poll. i have other polls for you. gallup as i just showed you the 47-47 post debate. rasmussen 49-47 but that's rasmussen. polite co-,an one-point lead for president obama. when you put that all together it is not good news. what did i say again? >> it's already over. >> cenk: oops. okay, it gets worse. pew out today. 45-49--the fore four-point lead--disaster. what did that idiot say? >> cenk: it's already over. >> cenk: 12 diffe
. >> a new poll showing romney slightly ahead. >> the new poll. >> conservatives are saying we're not going fight with him now. we're going to wait until after the election. >> cenk: now, you all remember the good ol' days, before the first presidential debate when president obama was comfortably up. in a gallup poll he was up by five points. and a certain talk show host made this prediction. >> so barring a major miracle i'm calling the election right now. it's...
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where do you think and why do you think for mitt romney, the swing state polls have swung so far back. is it just the debate or the normal reassessment that goes on in the campaign or what? >> several reasons, neal. you touched on a few of them and let me thank you for having me on your program. you always get closer when a presidential campaign gets close to the election and it is bound to tighten up and a lot of people are undecided . the debate was helpful and we hoped for a signal and we got a grand slam and number three paul ryan did an excellent job in his debate against the vice-president. and number four, people are very concerned about the fiscal cliff that you are talking about this morning. you are spot on, neal and number five, people are concerned about the spending and they know if they don't change the direction of the country, we'll have a fiscal cliff and could have a fiscal melt down and they are looking to a new direction and that is with mitt romney and paul ryan and tommy thompson. >> and what if they get e mitt romney and paul ryan and it is not tommy thompson. b
where do you think and why do you think for mitt romney, the swing state polls have swung so far back. is it just the debate or the normal reassessment that goes on in the campaign or what? >> several reasons, neal. you touched on a few of them and let me thank you for having me on your program. you always get closer when a presidential campaign gets close to the election and it is bound to tighten up and a lot of people are undecided . the debate was helpful and we hoped for a signal and...